I did not have a week 4 projection because I was in the air traveling on business for my paying job. But the computer projected that BYU would lose by 2, Utah State would win by 15, Weber would win by 17 and SUU would lose by 9. It was a bad week for Sagarin and their Beehive State predictions. Sagarin in Utah is now 11-5.
Brigham Young.
The Utah loss really hurt the Cougars and will likely haunt them all season.
September 3 Final BYU 14 Ole Miss 13...Computer predicted a 1 point Cougar victory.
September 10 Texas 17 BYU 16...Computer predicted an 8-point Longhorn victory.
September 17 Utah...Utah 54 BYU 10...Computer projected a 3 point Cougar win.
September 23 Central Florida...BYU 24 UCF 17...Computer projected a 2 point Cougar loss.
September 30 Utah State...BYU wins by 11.
October 8 San Jose State...BYU wins by 18.
October 15 @ Oregon State...BYU wins by 5.
October 22 Idaho State...BYU wins by 33.
October 28 v TCU...BYU loses by 12.
November 12 Idaho...BYU wins by 19.
November 19 New Mexico State...BYU wins by 22.
December 3 @ Hawaii...BYU wins by 1.
Armed Forces Bowl, Dallas, TX
December 30 v SMU...BYU loses by 1. (The Armed Forces Bowl is played on SMU's home field.)
BYU finishes 9-4.
FBS Independents.
1. Navy
2. BYU
3. Notre Dame
4. Army
Utah
It is still looking like a great season for Ute fans, but everything else from here on out is just icing on the cake.
September 1 Final...27-10 Utah. Computer predicted a 28-point Ute victory.
September 10 Final USC 23 Utah 14...Computer predicted a 6-point Trojan win.
September 17 @ BYU...Utah 54 BYU 10...Computer projected a 3-point Cougar win.
October 1 Washington...Utah wins by 17.
October 8 Arizona State...Utah wins by 7.
October 15 @ Pittsburgh...Utah wins by 8.
October 22 @ California...Utah wins by 7.
October 29 Oregon State...Utah wins by 25.
November 5 @ Arizona...Utah wins by 9.
November 12 UCLA...Utah wins by 21.
November 19 @ Washington State...Utah wins by 18.
November 25 Colorado...Utah wins 24.
Utah qualifies for the PAC-12 title game because USC is ineligible.
December 3 @ Stanford...Utah loses by 11.
Holiday Bowl, San Diego, California
December 28 v Texas A&M...Utah wins by 2.
Utah finishes 12-2, 7-2 in conference play, including the conference championship.
Conference Projection (Includes conf championship, but not the bowls)
North
1. Stanford 12-1, (Rose vs Ohio State)
2. Oregon 10-2, 8-1 (Fiesta vs. Oklahoma)
3. California 9-3, 6-3 (Sun vs Maryland)
4. Washington 7-5, 4-5 (Kraft Fight Hunger vs. Fresno State)
5. Washington State 3-9, 1-8
6. Oregon State 2-10, 0-9
South
1. USC 10-2, 8-1 (Ineligible)
1. Utah (tie) 11-2, 8-2 (Holiday vs. Texas A&M) (2nd loss is conf championship)
3. Arizona State 10-2, 7-2 (Alamo vs. Texas)
4. Arizona 6-6, 4-5 (Las Vegas vs. TCU)
5. UCLA 3-9, 2-7
6. Colorado 3-9, 1-8
Note: The PAC-12 will not have a team for the New Mexico Bowl. The bids goes to a WAC or MAC team instead.
Utah State
The loss to CSU cost the Aggies a little bit. Last week, they were projected to have only one more loss the rest of the season, win the WAC and play in the Poinsettia Bowl. But some Aggie fans have still not forgiven me for saying that Montana would get into the MWC over Utah State. If Utah State does win the WAC this year, they will get an MWC invite.
September 3 Final Auburn 41 Utah State 38...Computers predicted a 30 point Tiger victory.
September 10 Final Utah State 54 Weber 17...Computers projected a 9 point Aggie win.
September 24 Final Colorado State 35 Utah State 34...Computer projected a 15 point Aggie win.
September 30 @ BYU...USU loses by 11.
October 8 Wyoming...USU wins by 5.
October 15 @ Fresno State...USU loses by 5.
October 22 Louisiana Tech...USU wins by 4.
November 5 @ Hawaii...USU loses by 5.
November 12 San Jose State...USU wins by 12.
November 19 @ Idaho...USU wins by 5.
November 26 Nevada...USU loses by 1.
December 3 @ New Mexico State...USU wins by 9. (+)
Idaho Famous Potato Bowl, Boise, ID
December 17 vs. Ohio...USU loses by 4
USU finishes 7-6, 4-3 in WAC play.
Conference Projection (Bowl and Opponent)
1. Nevada 8-4, 6-1 (Poinsettia vs. Air Force) (Nevada beats Hawaii)
1. Hawaii 9-3, 6-1 (Hawaii vs Tulsa)
3. Utah State 7-5, 4-3 (Idaho Famous Potato vs. Ohio)
4. Fresno State 5-7, 4-3
5. Louisiana Tech 5-7, 3-4
6. Idaho 4-8, 2-5
7. New Mexico State 3-9, 1-6
8. San Jose State 1-11, 0-7
Weber State
In Big Sky play the Wildcats are better than expected, they will have to be at least two more times this season to make the post season. But they could very well win another conference championship.
September 3 Wyoming 35 Weber State 32...Computer predicted a 7 point Cowboy win.
September 10 Final Utah State 54 Weber 17...Computers projected a 9 point Aggie win.
September 17 Final Weber State 49 Sacramento State 17...Computers projected a 6 point Wildcat triumph.
September 24 Final Weber State 45 Northern Colorado 21...Computer projected a 17 point Wildcat win
October 1 @ Eastern Washington...Weber loses by 2.
October 15 Idaho State...Weber wins by 21.
October 22 Southern Utah...Weber wins by 2.
October 29 @ Montana...Weber loses by 3.
November 5 Montana State...Weber loses by 2.
November 12 Northern Arizona...Weber wins by 7.
November 19 @ Portland State...Weber wins by 14.
Weber finishes 6-5, 5-3 in conference play...Not quite good enough for the FCS playoffs
Conference Projection
1. Montana State10-1, 8-0
2. Montana 10-2, 7-1
3. Weber State 6-5, 5-3
4. Sacramento State 7-4, 5-3
5. Eastern Washington 6-5, 4-4
6. Northern Arizona 4-7, 3-5
7. Portland State 4-7, 2-6
8. Northern Colorado 3-8, 1-7
9. Idaho State 1-11, 0-8
Southern Utah
The win against UNLV does not help their computer projection a lot, but it will help SUU climb into the post-season.
September 3 Final South Dakota State 29 SUU 28...Computer predicted a 6 point Jackrabbit victory.
September 10 Final SUU 35 Sacramento State 14...Computer predicted a 3 point Hornet win.
September 17 SUU 45 UTSA 22...Computer projected an 18 point Thunderbird win
September 24 @ SUU 41 UNLV 16...Computer projected a 9 point Rebel triumph
October 1 North Dakota...SUU wins by 11.
October 8 @ South Dakota...SUU wins by 3.
October 15 @ Cal Poly...SUU wins by 1.
October 22 @ Weber State...SUU loses by 2.
October 29 UC Davis...SUU wins by 12.
November 12 @ Northern Iowa...SUU loses by 7.
November 19 Northern Arizona...SUU wins by 2.
SUU finishes 8-3, 4-0 in conference play.
Conference Projection
1. Southern Utah 8-3, 4-0
2. South Dakota 6-5, 3-1
3. Cal Poly 5-6, 2-2
4. UC Davis 6-5, 1-3
5. North Dakota 3-8, 0-4
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