Updated Bowl Scenario for the WAC and MWC

Mountain West Conference

Bowl Commitments (5): Las Vegas, Poinsettia, Armed Forces, New Mexico and Humanitarian.  Plus an outside chance at a BCS bowl.

Already Bowl Eligible 4:
TCU 9-0--BCS likely if they win out.  They are impressing the voters in all three human polls.
Utah 8-1--Likely Las Vegas Bowl if TCU can get a BCS slot.
BYU 7-2--Likely Poinsettia
Air Force 6-3--Armed Forces


Remaining Teams:

San Diego State
4-5
Projected Wins 2: @ UNLV, Wyoming
Projected Losses 1:  @ Utah
Projected Record: 6-6
Best Case Scenario: 7-5
Worst Case Scenario: 4-8
Projected Bowl: New Mexico

Wyoming:
4-5
Projected Wins: 1 @Colorado State
Projected Losses: 2 TCU, @ San Diego State
Projected Record: 5-7
Best Case Scenario: 6-6
Worst Case Scenario: 4-8
 
UNLV
4-6
Projected Wins 0:
Projected Losses 2: @ Air Force, San Diego State
Projected Record: 4-8
Best Case Scenario: 6-6


Eliminated from Bowl Contention 2:
Colorado State, 3-7
New Mexico, 0-9

Bottom line for the Mountain West: The conference will not have enough bowl eligible teams to fill all of their commitments should TCU earn a BCS bowl bid.

WAC
Bowl Commitments: Hawaii, New Mexico, Humanitarian.  Poinsettia if PAC-10 does not have enough bowl eligible teams.

Already Bowl Eligible: 4

-Boise State 9-0
-Idaho 7-3 Should finish 8-4 and get to host the Humanitarian Bowl
-Nevada 6-3
-Fresno State 6-3

Hawaii
3-6
(Plays a 13-game regular season)
Projected Wins 2: New Mexico State, @ San Jose State
Projected Losses 2: Navy, Wisconsin
Projected Record: 5-8
Best Case Scenario: 6-7
Worst Case Scenario: 4-9

Louisiana Tech
3-6
Projected Wins 1: San Jose State
Projected Losses 2: @LSU, @Fresno State
Projected Record: 4-8
Best Case Scenario: 5-7
Worst Case Scenario: 4-8

New Mexico State
3-6
(Plays a 13-game regular season)
Projected Wins 0:
Projected Losses 4: @ Hawaii, Nevada, @ San Jose State, @ Bosie State
Projected Record: 3-9
Best Case Scenario: 4-8

Eliminated from Bowl Contention 2:
Utah State 2-7
San Jose State 1-7

WAC Bottom Line: The WAC already has it's four bowl-eligible teams.  There will be no others.