Wednesday, September 26, 2012

Weber State's Revised 2012 Prospects

Weber State nearly pulled off an upset against Eastern Washington last week.  The assumption that many are making is that the 'Cats may not win a game this season.  But they showed life in the 2nd half of the game last week, and that means hope.  If they can continue to score touchdowns while other score field goals, they will win some games.

Weber State's Sagarin predictor is 52.89
The home field adds 2.38 points

Remaining opponents from strongest to weakest.

Cal-Poly     61.67--predicts a 6 point loss
Montana     59.53--predicts a 4 point loss
@ Southern Utah     54.38--predicts a 4 point loss
@ UC Davis     53.38--predicts a 3 point loss
@ Sacramento State   46.02--predicts a 4 point win
@ Idaho State     39.80--predicts a 10 point win
Northern Colorado    36.59--predicts a 19 point win

Weber State is about as strong, according to the computer rankings, as UC Davis, and WSU has the Aggies on the road, but this is the first winnable game left on the schedule.  It is probably that UC Davis will win, but WSU has a good chance.  In fact, all of the remaining games are winnable for the 'Cats, as all predictions are within 1 score.

Again, games are played on the field by real people and not by a computer.  Against EWU, Weber should have lost by 12 according to the computer, and lost by only 6.  Against McNeese State, Weber State was the predicted winner, but WSU lost by 14.

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