Monday, November 26, 2012

Pure Speculation Part 2...Would Utah State have a WAC Championship if Boise State, Fresno State, Nevada and Hawaii were still in the WAC?


Sagarin Rankings for Classic WAC

Utah State 81.68
Fresno State 80.08
Boise State 78.71

San Jose State 79.17
La Tech 73.54
Nevada 68.94
Hawaii 51.32
Idaho 46.70
NMSU 46.11

For Utah State to have won the WAC in 2012 with this line up of teams, it probably would have come to where the games were played.  In 2010, USU played Fresno State in Logan and Boise State in Boise.  The computers, which add 3.14 points to the home team would have called a USU/BSU game in Boise too close to call, but the Broncos would have had a razor-thin edge.  Enough for a good team with strong leadership to overcome.  But BSU would have a slight disadvantage playing at San Jose State.  So you basically have a 3-way tie for 1st place with Boise State beating Utah State, Utah State beating San Jose State and San Jose State beating Boise State.

As far a bowls go, it depends on how the non-conference records go. 

The speculative WAC standings in this alignment in 2012 could have been thus...

(Conference Record Only)
1.  Boise State 7-1
Tie. Utah State 7-1
Tie. San Jose State 7-1
4.  Fresno State 5-3
5.  Louisiana Tech 4-4
6.  Nevada 3-5
7.  Hawaii 2-6
8.  Idaho 1-7
9.  New Mexico State 0-8

As far as bowls go, this is what I would have done...

Boise State--Potato Bowl...playing at home.
Utah State--Poinsettia Bowl
San Jose State--Hawaii Bowl
Fresno State--New Mexico Bowl
La Tech (Probably would have found another bowl to go to.)
Nevada may even ended up bowl eligible.

The real good news, and this is not speculation, is that if USU keeps improving, 2013 could involve an MWC championship and perhaps even more.

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