The Computer predicts week 6

Week 5 was a bad week for Sagarin in Utah.  The computer incorrectly predicted 3 of the 4 games and so far does not have a good track record.

Brigham Young.

The Cougars beat the Aggies, as expected, but did not beat the predicted spread.  Maybe they would have if Riley Nelson would have played the entire game.

September 3 Final BYU 14 Ole Miss 13...Computer predicted a 1 point Cougar victory.
September 10 Texas 17 BYU 16...Computer predicted an 8-point Longhorn victory.
September 17 Utah...Utah 54 BYU 10...Computer projected a 3 point Cougar win.
September 23 Central Florida...BYU 24 UCF 17...Computer projected a 2 point Cougar loss.
September 30 Utah State...BYU 27 USU 24...computer predicted an 11 point Cougar triumph.
October 8 San Jose State...BYU wins by 16. (-)
October 15 @ Oregon State...BYU wins by 2. (-)
October 22 Idaho State...BYU wins by 32. (-)
October 28 v TCU...BYU loses by 11. (+)
November 12 Idaho...BYU wins by 15. (-)
November 19 New Mexico State...BYU wins by 20. (-)
December 3 @ Hawaii...BYU loses by 3. (--)
Armed Forces Bowl, Dallas, TX
December 30 v Tulsa...BYU loses by 2.
BYU finishes 8-5.

FBS Independents.
1. Notre Dame
2. BYU
3. Navy
4. Army

Utah

The Utes 2nd half collapse against Washington costs them in the computer rankings.

September 1 Final...27-10 Utah.  Computer predicted a 28-point Ute victory.
September 10 Final USC 23 Utah 14...Computer predicted a 6-point Trojan win.
September 17 @ BYU...Utah 54 BYU 10...Computer projected a 3-point Cougar win.
October 1 Washington...Washington 31 Utah 14...computer predicted a 17 point Ute victory.
October 8 Arizona State...Utah wins by 2. (-)
October 15 @ Pittsburgh...Utah loses by 2. (--)
October 22 @ California...Utah loses by 1. (--)
October 29 Oregon State...Utah wins by 17. (-)
November 5 @ Arizona...Utah wins by 3. (-)
November 12 UCLA...Utah wins by 10. (-)
November 19 @ Washington State...Utah wins by 6. (-)
November 25 Colorado...Utah wins 17.
Las Vegas Bowl, Las Vegas, Nevada
December 28 v TCU...Utah loses by 2. (--)
Utes to finish 8-5 (6-3 in conference play)
Conference Projection (Includes conf championship, but not the bowls)

North

1.  Stanford   (Rose)
2. Oregon  (Fiesta)
3. Washington (Sun)
4. California (Kraft Fight Hunger)
5. Washington State
6. Oregon State

South

1. Arizona State (Holiday)
2. USC (Ineligible)
3. Utah (Las Vegas)
4. Arizona (New Mexico)
5. UCLA
6. Colorado

Utah State

The loss to CSU is the loss the hurts the Aggies the most because they were big favorites in that game.  If Utah State can pull out a win at Fresno State in 2 weeks, they will win the WAC.

September 3 Final Auburn 41 Utah State 38...Computers predicted a 30 point Tiger victory.
September 10 Final Utah State 54 Weber 17...Computers projected a 9 point Aggie win.
September 24 Final Colorado State 35 Utah State 34...Computer projected a 15 point Aggie win.
September 30 @ BYU...BYU 27 USU 24...Computer predicted an 11 point Cougar win.
October 8 Wyoming...USU wins by 7. (+)
October 15 @ Fresno State...USU loses by 2. (+)
October 22 Louisiana Tech...USU wins by 7. (+)
November 5 @ Hawaii...USU loses by 6. (-)
November 12 San Jose State...USU wins by 11. (-)
November 19 @ Idaho...USU wins by 5. (0)
November 26 Nevada...USU loses by 1. (0)
December 3 @ New Mexico State...USU wins by 10. (+)
Idaho Famous Potato Bowl, Boise, ID
December 17 vs. Ohio...USU loses by 2 (+)

USU finishes 6-7, 4-3 in WAC play.

Conference Projection (Bowl and Opponent)
1. Nevada (Poinsettia vs. Air Force) (Nevada beats Hawaii)
1. Hawaii (Hawaii vs Tulsa)
3. Utah State (Idaho Famous Potato vs. Ohio)
4. Fresno State
5. Louisiana Tech
6. Idaho
7. New Mexico State
8. San Jose State

Weber State

In Big Sky play the Wildcats are better than expected, they will have to be at least two more times this season to make the post season.  But they could very well win another conference championship.

September 3 Wyoming 35 Weber State 32...Computer predicted a 7 point Cowboy win.
September 10 Final Utah State 54 Weber 17...Computers projected a 9 point Aggie win.
September 17 Final Weber State 49 Sacramento State 17...Computers projected a 6 point Wildcat triumph.
September 24 Final Weber State 45 Northern Colorado 21...Computer projected a 17 point Wildcat win
October 1 @ Eastern Washington...EWU 27 WSU 21...Computer projected a 2 point Eagle win.
October 15 Idaho State...Weber wins by 19. (-)
October 22 Southern Utah...Weber wins by 4. (+)
October 29 @ Montana...Weber loses by 3. (0)
November 5 Montana State...Weber loses by 2. (0)
November 12 Northern Arizona...Weber wins by 6. (-)
November 19 @ Portland State...Weber wins by 7. (-)

Weber finishes 6-5, 5-3 in conference play...Not quite good enough for the FCS playoffs

Conference Projection
1. Montana State
2. Montana
3. Eastern Washington
4. Weber State
5. Sacramento State
6. Northern Arizona
7. Portland State
8. Idaho State
9. Northern Colorado

Southern Utah

The loss to North Dakota will hurt more than the win over UNLV helps.

September 3 Final South Dakota State 29 SUU 28...Computer predicted a 6 point Jackrabbit victory.
September 10 Final SUU 35 Sacramento State 14...Computer predicted a 3 point Hornet win.
September 17 SUU 45 UTSA 22...Computer projected an 18 point Thunderbird win
September 24 @ SUU 41 UNLV 16...Computer projected a 9 point Rebel triumph
October 1 North Dakota...North Dakota 26 SUU 21...Computer projected an 11-point Thunderbird win.
October 8 @ South Dakota...SUU wins by 1. (-) (Almost too close to call)
October 15 @ Cal Poly...SUU loses by 1. (--)
October 22 @ Weber State...SUU loses by 4. (-)
October 29 UC Davis...SUU wins by 9. (-)
November 12 @ Northern Iowa...SUU loses by 13. (-)
November 19 Northern Arizona...SUU wins by 1. (-)

SUU to finish 6-5, 2-2 in conference play.