This weekend did little to change my mind.

The Utes were off this week, while the only winner in the state was the Utah State Aggies. 

BYU Cougars (2-4)

Although Christian Stewart did a better job as the starting quarterback than I thought he would, BYU still lost.  But you can't really blame the inexperienced senior.  He was hampered by inconsistent play calling and a weak defensive scheme.  BYU could not hold onto a 4th quarter lead, but this time, there was no answer for the surge the other team put together.

I hope that no one still believes that BYU would have been unbeaten if Taysom Hill would have remained healthy.  I doubt that a perfect season will happen for BYU while Bronco Mendenhall is head coach.  He's a good coach, but he's not a great coach.  I'm not certain he has the ability to transcend to the next level.

Predicted Outcome
Best Case 8-4
Worst Case 6-6

Probable Losses

Boise State
California

Probable Wins
UNLV
Savanah State

Toss Up
Nevada
Middle Tennessee

Utah Utes (4-1)

They had the week off.  However, the PAC-12 has been the most unpredictable this season.  That could leave them (the PAC-12) out of the playoff this year.

Predicted Outcome
Best Case 8-4
Worst Case 5-7

Probable Wins

Oregon State
Colorado

Probable Losses
Arizona State
Arizona
Stanford

Toss Up

USC
Oregon

Utah State (4-2)

The Aggies avoided the post-big-win letdown.  They pounced on Falcon mistakes and built a big early lead and cruised to the finish line.  Just don't expect the rest of the conference season to be this easy.  The next game, at Colorado State, will define the rest of the season.

Projected finish
Best Case 9-3
Worst Case 8-4

Projected wins
Hawaii
Wyoming
New Mexico
San Jose State

Toss Up

Colorado State

Projected Loss
Boise State

Southern Utah Thunderbirds (1-6)

No upset this weekend in Cedar City.  We will see about next weekend.


Predicted Finish
Best Case 5-7
Worst Case 3-9

Probable Wins
Idaho State
North Dakota

Probable Losses

Montana

Toss Up
Sacramento State
Northern Arizona

Weber State Wildcats (0-6)

Have the Wildcats touched bottom and are they working their way back.  The answer is  yes, but the results aren't showing in the win column, yet.  That should change in the coming weeks.

Predicted Finish
Best Case 4-8
Worst Case 3-9

Probable Wins
North Dakota
Northern Colorado
Idaho State

Probable Losses

Montana State
Northern Arizona

Toss Up
Portland State