Sunday, October 19, 2014

If it weren't for the Utes...

It it were not for the Utes, the last weekend in the state would have been a complete disaster. 

BYU (4-3)

The dream season is turning into a nightmare.  BYU has overcome mid-season swoons before.  And they may do so again.  Perhaps Boise State will look past them?  Yea, right, and someday I will dunk over Karl Malone.  Nobody looks past BYU, even when they are struggling.  The Cougars are currently riding a 3-game losing streak and it look like it will be longer.  Three game losing streaks have happened in the Bronco Era, but not this late in the season.  The last time BYU lost 4 in a row was 1993.  But they still won the conference championship that year.  The last time BYU lost 5 in a row...1968 where the team had a 7-game losing streak.  That was the season BYU was the target of civil rights protests.  BYU fans are not used to this kind of futility.  Does that mean that they are spoiled?

Best Case (7-5)
Worst Case (5-7)

Probable Losses
Boise State
California

Probable Win
Savanah State

Toss Up
Middle Tennessee
UNLV

Utah (5-1)

Has Utah finally turned the corner in the PAC-12.  I think that will be obvious by the end of the season.  And you certainly won't need little 'ol me to tell that has happened.  The hardest stretch of the season now approaches.  USC, Oregon, Arizona are among the coming games.  To me, however, it certainly seems that Utah has learned some lessons and people in the PAC-12 should take them seriously.

Predicted Outcome
Best Case 10-2
Worst Case 6-6

Probable Wins
Colorado

Probable Losses
Stanford

Toss Up
USC
Oregon
Arizona State
Arizona


Utah State (4-3)


I had a hunch that the high flying Aggies would come back to Earth in Fort Collins.  Colorado State is the most improved team in the MWC this season.  This was a game that they needed to take seriously.  That did not happen and perhaps a chance at a MWC championship this year faded into the Rocky Mountain air.  But USU is still going bowling, and possibly going to Hawaii.  That is one heck of a consolation prize.

Projected Finish 8-4

Projected wins
Hawaii
Wyoming
New Mexico
San Jose State

Projected loss
Boise State

Weber State (0-7)

No one expected that WSU would go to Bozeman and win, let alone keep the game close.  It is probably WSU's 3rd moral victory of the season.  There may be one or two real ones very soon.

Projected Finish
Best Case 3-9
Worst Case 2-10

Probable Wins
North Dakota
Northern Colorado

Probable Loss
Northern Arizona

Toss Up
Idaho State

Southern Utah (1-7)

Idaho State is for real!!!  Well, not really, but they are better and someone forgot to tell Ed Lamb and company.  At least BYU fans have a sympathetic shoulder to cry on.

Projected Finish 2-11


Probable Win
North Dakota

Probable Losses
Montana
Northern Arizona
Sacramento State

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