The Idaho Statesmen had an interesting account of how things really went down this week. Getting Fresno and Nevada was not about sticking it to BYU, but about keeping Boise State from going back to the WAC.
My take is that BYU made their point...not to the MWC but to the other big conferences. That they have something to bring to the table. It was like getting a new job, when the real point is getting a raise at the current job. I also think that going independent is still unwise for BYU. They would only have ESPN brokering games for them as long as it works for ESPN. One poor season and the gig is up. BYU is not Notre Dame. Eventually, the relationship between BYU and the MWC will heal. The MWC is needs BYU to get to the BCS.
BYU and the other MWC schools and their fans can not live the next two to three years as if nothing has happened. The MWC knows that sooner or later they will have to live without BYU. The question is, will they be able to keep Boise State? There is talk of BYU/Boise State in the Big 12.
There is now a story on the Houston Rivals.com page that UH has been invited to join the MWC. But Houston is not acting on the invitation just yet. The assumption is that they are waiting on BYU. They may be wishing to have a say in who will replace BYU--read not Utah State. There are also rumors, however, that SMU has also been invited to the MWC. Maybe the 14-team MWC is still in the plans and there is still hope for Utah State.
That could be the final blow to the WAC. Louisiana Tech is certainly bound to be the replacement for Houston. There is also a report that Hawaii will be the team going independent and joining the Big West for other sports. It is the best travel scenario for Hawaii.
This would leave the WAC with just four schools or worse, who would not have the ability or clout to hold the conference together. Utah State, Idaho, San Jose State and New Mexico State need to make a move sooner rather than later. Going after BYU was a bold move, but it backfired on them big time. Utah State, the biggest stunner of them all.
But if the MWC can go to 14, so can C-USA and the rest of the WAC, save Hawaii can be absorbed by the MWC and C-USA. The MWC takes on Houston, SMU and Utah State. C-USA takes La-Tech, NM-State and Idaho, while Hawaii goes indy and San Jose State drops football. This is all speculation on my part, however. But I think that the MWC owes something to the remainder of the WAC schools. And Nevada, Fresno State and other will not have to pay any money to a conference that no longer exists.
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