(State of) Idaho football possibilities according to Massey

Massey is one of the more respected computer ranking systems out there.  They have their pre-season computer ranking out.  Depending on your perspective, it's not going to be a terrible season for Boise State, and it's not going to be pretty for the rest of the Gem State.  Yes, there is college football played outside of the City of Boise in the Gem State, but some seasons, it is hardly noticeable.

Boise State

75% probability of a 7-5 record (Add losses to Fresno State and San Diego State)
50% probability of a 9-3 record (Add loss to Utah State)
25% probability of a 10-2 record (Loses to Washington and BYU)

Key games for Boise State--Fresno State, Utah State and San Diego State

Don't panic, Bronco's fans; this is only one projection.  Jerry Palm of CBS Online has BSU in the Rose Bowl.  Let me also say that 9-3 is not a bad season, but when you are used to winning 11 games and going to BCS bowls, 9-3 is just a little bit difficult to swallow, especially if someone else wins the conference division champion.  But that is one of the breaks of life in a good conference, there are other quality program and even BSU will not dominate and win the conference every season.  Massey likes both MWC newcomers and predicts that Utah State and San Jose State will meet in the conference title game. 

MWC

Mountain
1. Utah State
2. Boise State
3. Wyomig
4. Air Force
5. Colorado State
6. New Mexico

West
1. San Jose State
2. Fresno State
3. San Diego State
4. Nevada
5. Hawaii
6. UNLV

Overall
1. Utah State
2. Boise State
3. San Jose State
4. Fresno State
5. San Diego State
6. Nevada
7. Wyoming
8. Air Force
9. Colorado State
10. Hawaii
11. New Mexico
12. UNLV

Idaho

75% probability of 0-12 record
50% probability of 0-12 record (50% chance of winning at New Mexico State)
25% chance of 4-8 record (Wins vs Temple, Texas St, Old Dominion and New Mexico State)

The Vandals will not be the worst team in the Football Bowl Subdivision in 2013, according to Massey, but only one team ranked below the Vandals shows up on the schedule.  It would be nice if Akron, South Alabama, UMass and Georgia State showed up on Idaho's schedule this season.  But that is the life of independence.  The Vandals will have to find a way win games they should not.

1. Nortre Dame
2. BYU
3. Navy
4. Army
5. Idaho
6. New Mexico State

Idaho State

75% probability 2-10 record (wins vs. Dixie State and Colorado Western)
50% probability 2-10 record
25% probability 2-10 record

Key games -- Northern Colorado, Portland State, North Dakota

What will it take to turn the Bengals around?  Is it hard to believe that the Bengals were once the Division I-AA champions.  This is a program that once won 6 conference championships in a period of 10 season.  But they have not seen much success since 2002. It does not appear as if 2013 will be different, but Bengals fans hope so.  There are some winnable games, and that is where ISU needs to start.