Impressions about the BYU 2011 Schedule

S3 @ Mississippi (Ole Miss)
S10 @ Texas
S17 Utah
S23 Central Florida
S30 Utah State
O8 San Jose State (Probably Homecoming)
O15 @ Oregon State
O22 Idaho State
O29 Open
N5 @ Louisiana Tech
N12 Idaho
N15 New Mexico State
N26 Open
D3 @ Hawaii

Likely Wins (6)
Utah State
San Jose State
@ Louisiana Tech
Idaho State
Idaho
New Mexico State

Probable Wins (4) BYU wins at least 2 of these games, possibly 3 and maybe all 4.
@ Mississippi
Utah
Central Florida
@ Oregon State

Probably Losses (2)  BYU might win 1 of these 2 games but will likely lose both.
@ Texas
@ Hawaii

Post Season:
BYU has no post season contract for 2011 and will likely have to be ranked in the Top 10 to get a BCS bid.  Too bad they play @ Hawaii to finish the season, a loss at Aloha Stadium will knock the Cougars out of the Top 10 if the best case scenario holds out.  But the Hawaii game has the potential to be a BCS play-in game with the winner getting a big bowl game.  Otherwise, I believe that BYU will get to be a sub for a conference that is not able to fill all of it's bowl commitments.  Which could mean another trip to Las Vegas.

Trap Game: Central Florida.  The Knights are good enough to win in Provo and catch BYU after the Holy War and before the Holy Payback game (Against Utah State).

Best Case Scenario:
11-1 With a BCS Bowl Bid
Most Likely Scenario:
9-3 With a Las Vegas Bowl Bid
Worst Case Scenario:
6-6 With a Humanitarian Bowl Bid