Expansion Update

According to Wrubbell at KSL, here is the latest on the conference expansion rumors.  I've also been following the chatter at other sites.

My Take:
Big 10--
Notre Dame--will not happen.  Too many teams that ND plays every season for this to happen.
Rutgers--No
Missouri/Nebraska--No
Syracuse--No
Pittsburgh--?Maybe?

Big XII--No Expansion
SEC--Probably not, but really, look at adding Florida State and Miami.  It's a good move and a good fit.
ACC--No...unless the SEC takes Florida State and Miami.
Big East--Probably not, but push for the Villanova/Georgtown promotion from FCS.  It would be a good defensive move for the Big East to survive as a football conference.  As a football power; lose either West Virginia, Pittsburgh or Syracuse too the ACC or Big 10, the football reputation is toast.  But they could follow the MWC model at strengthening the conference for the future.  That is why East Carolina and Southern Mississippi creep up in expansion chatter.
PAC-10--Looking to have a championship game without expansion.  Probably a good move, but potentially risky.  I'll explain in a later blog.

Mountain West--Boise State is in.  IMHO--Fresno State is too if a twelfth team can be added.  12th team should be either Houston, Nevada or Tulsa.

WAC--IMHO--the WAC should not risk losing it's recruiting presence on it's eastern flank and raid the Sun Belt Conference before looking to promoting FCS schools.  Look for North Texas along with either Louisiana Monroe or Louisiana Lafayette to be invited as replacements for Boise State, Fresno State and/or Nevada.  Even if New Mexico State and Louisiana Tech add little to the strength of the conference, at least they will be more likely to be on the newspaper pages/web pages in Dallas and Houston than Montana or Montana State.