Tuesday, October 8, 2024

 My first NHL Prediction...

Pacific Division

1. Edmonton Oilers
2. Vancouver Canucks
3. Los Angeles Kings
4. Vegas Golden Knights
5. Seattle Kraken
6. San Jose Sharks
7. Anaheim Ducks
8. Calgary Flames

Team most likely to surprise: San Jose
Team most likely to disappoint: Vegas

Central Division

1. Dallas Stars
2. Nashville Predators
3. Colorado Avalanche
4. Utah Hockey Club
5. Winnipeg Jets
6. Minnesota Wild
7. Chicago Blackhawks
8. St. Louis Blues

Team most likely to surprise: Utah
Team most likely to disappoint: Colorado

Atlantic Division

1. Boston Bruins
2. Florida Panthers
3. Toronto Maple Leafs
4. Tampa Bay Lightning
5. Montreal Canadiens
6. Buffalo Sabers
7. Detroit Red Wings
8. Ottawa Senators

Team most likely to surprise: Montreal
Team most likely to disappoint: Florida

Metropolitan Division

1. New York Rangers
2. Carolina Hurricanes
3. Washington Capitals
4. New York Islanders
5. Columbus Blue Jackets
6. New Jersey Devils
7. Philadelphia Flyers
8. Pittsburgh Penguins

Team most likely to surprise: Washington
Team most likely to disappoint: Islanders

Tuesday, May 7, 2024

US Cities by Number of Major Sports Teams

Cities that have multiple franchises in at least one league (Except for Major League Soccer)

1. New York, New York
NFL Giants and Jets
NBA Knicks and Nets
NHL Rangers, Islanders and Devils
MLB Yankees and Mets
(Also home to MLS Red Bulls and NYFC)
CSA: 21.86 Million

2. Los Angeles, California
NFL Rams and Chargers
NBA Lakers and Clippers
NHL Kings and Ducks
MLB Dodgers and Angels
(Also home to MLS Galaxy and LAFC)
CSA: 18.32 Million

3. Washington, DC
NFL Commanders and (Baltimore) Ravens
MLB Nationals and (Baltimore) Orioles
NBA Wizards
NHL Capitals
(Also home to MLS DC United)
CSA 10.07 Million

4. Chicago, Illinois
NFL Bears
NBA Bulls
MLB Cubs and White Sox
NHL Blackhawks
(Also home to MLS Fire)
CSA: 9.74 Million

5. San Francisco, California
(Through 2024)
NFL 49ers
MLB Giants and Athletics
NBA Warriors
NHL Sharks
(Also home to MLS Earthquakes)
CSA: 9.0 Million

Cities with at one franchise in each of the four major sports

1. Dallas, Texas
NFL Cowboys
NBA Mavericks
NHL Stars
MLB Rangers
(Also home of MLS FC Dallas)
CSA: 8.65 Million

2. Boston, Massachusetts
NFL Patriots
NBA Celtics
NHL Bruins
MLB Red Sox
(Also home to MLS Revolution)
CSA: 8.35 Million

3. Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
NFL Eagles
NBA 76ers
NHL Flyers
MLB Phillies
(Also home to MLS Philadelphia Union)
CSA: 7.39 Million

4. Miami, Florida
NFL Dolphins
NBA Heat
NHL Panthers
MLB Marlins
(Also home to MLS InterMiami CF)
CSA: 7.01 Million

5. Detroit, Michigan
NFL Lions
NBA Pistons
NHL RedWings
MLB Tigers
CSA: 5.36 Million

6. Minneapolis, Minnesota
NFL Vikings
NBA Timberwolves
NHL Wild
MLB Twins
(Also home to MLS Minnesota United FC)
CSA: 4.10 Million

7. Denver, Colorado
NFL Broncos
NBA Nuggets
MLB Rockies
NHL Avalanche
(Also home to MLS Rapids)
CSA: 3.69 Million

Cities with three of the four major sports

1. Houston, Texas
NFL Texans
NBA Rockets
MLB Astros
(Also home to MLS Dynamo)
CSA: 7.70 Million

2. Atlanta, Georgia
NFL Falcons
NBA Hawks
MLB Braves
(Also home to MLS Atlanta United)
CSA: 7.22 Million

3. Phoenix, Arizona
NFL Cardinals
NBA Suns
MLB Diamondbacks
CSA: 5.12 Million
Note: NHL Coyotes are inactive

4. Seattle, Washington
NFL Seahawks
NHL Kracken
MLB Mariners
(Also home to MLS Sounders)
CSA: 4.99 Million

5. Cleveland, Ohio
NFL Browns
NBA Caveliers
MLB Guardians
CSA: 3.73 Million

6. Tampa, Florida
NFL Buccaneers
NHL Lightning
MLB Rays
MSA: 3.17 Million

7. Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
NFL Steelers
NHL Penguins
MLB Pirates
CSA: 2.73 Million

Cities with two major sports franchises

1. Charlotte, North Carolina
NFL Panthers
NBA Hornets
(Also Home to MLS Charlotte FC)
CSA: 3.39 Million

2. St. Louis, Missouri
MLB Cardinals
NHL Blues
(Also home to MLS St. Louis City)
CSA: 2.9 Million

3. Salt Lake City, Utah
NBA Jazz
NHL (Yet to be named)
(Also home to MLS Real Salt Lake)
CSA: 2.80 Million

(Sacramento California)
NBA Kings
MLB Athletics (2025-2027)
CSA: 2.71 Million

4. Indianapolis, Indiana
NFL Colts
NBA Pacers
CSA Population: 2.65 Million

5. Kansas City, Missouri (and Kansas)
NFL Chiefs
MLB Royals
(Also home to MLS Sporting KC)
CSA: 2.56 Million

6. Las Vegas, Nevada
(Until 2028)
NHL Golden Knights
NFL Raiders
CSA: 2.39 Million

7. Nashville, Tennessee
NFL Titans
NHL Predators
(Also home to MLS Nashville SC)
CSA: 2.35 Million

8. Cincinnati, Ohio
NFL Bengals
MLB Reds
(Also home to MLS FC Cincinnati)
CSA: 2.31 Million

9. Milwaukee, Wisconsin
NBA Bucks
MLB Brewers
CSA: 2.04 Million

10. New Orleans, Louisiana
NFL Saints
NBA Pelicans
CSA: 1.34 Million

11. Buffalo, New York
NFL Bills
NHL Sabers
CSA: 1.23 Million

Note:
Baltimore, MD
MLB Orioles
NFL Ravens
Part of the Washington, DC CSA

Cities with one major sports team

1. Orlando, Florida
NBA Magic
(Also home to Orlando City SC)
CSA:  4.50 Million

2. San Diego, California
MLB Padres
(Also home to MLS San Diego SC) 
MSA: 3.28 Million

3. San Antonio, Texas
NBA Spurs
CSA: 2.79 Million

4. Columbus, Ohio
NHL Blue Jackets
(Also home to MLS Crew)
CSA: 2.65 Million

5. Raleigh, North Carolina
NHL Hurricanes
CSA: 2.37 Million

6. Jacksonville, Florida
NFL Jaguars
CSA: 1.85 Million

7. Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
NBA Thunder
CSA: 1.55 Million

8. Memphis, Tennessee
NBA Grizzlies
CSA: 1.55 Million

Cities with only a Major League Soccer Team

1. Austin, Texas
MSA: 2.47 Million

Monday, March 4, 2024

Jazz/NHL Area Plan is Fluid

 After reading this article form Building Salt Lake, who have talked to people familiar with the negotiations have come up with a description of the plan.  Let me emphasize, this is fluid, and we are still early in the process.  I would not expect things to begin to solidify until after the summer is over.  There are a lot of stake holders in the area affected, but the main player are: Smith Entertainment Group who own the Utah Jazz and the current Delta Center, Salt Lake County, who owns the Salt Palace Convention Center, The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, Salt Lake City and Utah Symphony/Utah Opera.



At the site of the current Delta Center
A. Extension to the Salt Palace Convention Center
B. Possibly a location for a new Symphony Hall and/or opera house.  About 300% larger than the footprint of the current hall.
C. Bridge over 300 W.

At the block east of the current Delta Center
D. New Multi-Story Convention Center Wing
E. Revitalized and enlarged Japanese Garden
F. Bridge over 200 W.  (Largely unchanged)

At the next block east,
G.  The site of the new sports arena.  Likely, there will be some convention center facilities here to connect the south portion and the west portion.
H.  100 South between West Temple and 200 West restored.
I.  A connection from the Salt Palace South Convention Center to the sports arena.
K.  Promenade over West Temple from The City Creek Center.  This is the view from the rendering shared on X (formerly Twitter) by Ryan Smith.  In that X post, the building to the left of the promenade is the Marriott Hotel.  The Building to the Right is Nordstom.  (Or a new building to replace Nordstrom.)  This could be built over the garage, ballroom and lobby area of the hotel.  This could also be a redesign of the entire west portion of City Creek Center.
L. Site of Marriot Hotel downtown.  One of 4 Marriott's in Salt Lake City.  3 are downtown, the other is in the University of Utah Research Park.  This one is the oldest.  Was built in the late '70s.

The block to the south
J. The exhibit halls at the South End of the Salt Palace remain.

You have been told that the project was to give Ryan Smith a shiny new home.  That is only part of the truth.  The purpose of the project is to revitalize the downtown area of Salt Lake City and keep it fresh. This concept is a little over 50 acres. Here are the problems that downtown is having at the moment that this project is meant to solve.

1. The Delta Center is a good basketball arena.  It could host the Jazz for another 10 years or even longer.  But it does not convert to hockey or other sports well.  The acoustics are terrible.  Musicians who perform there complain.  Fans complain.  Anyone who is there for a purpose other than basketball complains.

2. The Salt Palace is undersized compared to other cities..  It is less than half the size of Denver Convention Center and a fifth the size of the Las Vegas Convention Center.  It is smaller than Phoenix, Portland and Seattle.

3. The City Creek Center and Gateway Plaza have become victims of the retail apocalypses.  The gateway has seen more store closures than City Creek by far.

4. From the musicians perspective, Abravanel Hall is a little too dead.  It is clearly built for the audience, with can make playing in an ensemble a little difficult.  Here is an article on what the hall is like for a musician.  Perhaps something better is in order.  From the audience perspective, its a great place to catch a concert.  As an audience member I see no reason to replace it.  But I would love a place that could attract more world-class musicians.  I'm not saying musicians hate it.  I don't know of one that does.  But I get the impression, they don't love it either.  This could end up as the more controversial part of the plan.

Again, this situation is fluid. I feel that the Symphony will be cast as the victim. I can see that side of the story. They will need a temporary place to rehearse and play, while the Jazz and the NHL will get to remain in the Delta Center.  I have played in a couple of community orchestras myself and understand the problem.  I know what it is like to be shifted from one rehearsal hall to another.  There are four theaters in the vicinity of Temple Square that can be used for concert halls.  But can they practice there?  You can use the Eccles Theater and Rose Wagner Theater as well, but not to interfere with other events at these locations.  But they will need a permanent place to rehearse.  From an arts perspective, it would be nice to have a dedicated Opera House.  It would also be a great place for non-opera events.

Overall benefits of this plan:

1. Traffic flow downtown will improve with 100 South being open all the way through
2. A larger convention center with the ability to host multiple conventions
3. More events downtown.  Every single Friday and Saturday night should have something happening, even during the summer.
4. A more balanced symphonic experience.  One where both the musicians and the audience have a pleasant event.

Tuesday, February 27, 2024

The Rendering is In...and I wasn't that far off

The rendering is in, and this is it...



But we are left to guess what the plan will be.  This is my guess, and this looks like a Billion Dollar project.

Below is my guess on what the plan is...


Phase 1: September 2024 to September 2027
-Close the parking lot, begin construction on the arena.  
-Take steps to protect Japan-town, the Japanese garden and the Japanese Church of Christ
-Close and demolish the Radisson Hotel
-Close and demolish the Fidelity field office
-Close and demolish the west wing of the Salt Palace (West of 200 W.) while preserving the rest of the facility
-Begin construction on the south plaza and the pedestrian bridge

Phase 2: Late 2034-and beyond
-Close and demolish the original Delta Center
-Build a tunnel under or bridge over 300 West
-Build a 

Monday, February 26, 2024

The Plan for an NHL Hockey Arena in Utah

The day has come, the Jazz days in the Delta Center are numbered,  We'll see the Jazz at 100 South John Stockton drive for a few more years.  But those days will end.  Probably soon.  The desire to keep the Jazz downtown instead of moving them to Draper have come to a head.  Ryan Smith floated something about building a NHL arena at the old prison site, rumors floated that the Jazz would go with them. Mayor Erin Mendenhall said, "we ain't gonna have none of that." And suddenly, the state will allocate 1 billion taxpayer dollars to build a new arena downtown.

What is wrong with the Delta Center?  Well, two things.  First, its old.  It is the 3rd oldest in use in the NBA behind Madison Square Garden and the Target Center in Minneapolis.  The second reason is that the Delta Center is a basketball first arena that doesn't convert well to other events.  For Hockey, the sightlines are not good, especially in the upper bowl.  With the current configuration, about 4,000 seats are lost when converting from basketball to hockey.  For concerts, the acoustics are terrible.  Some acts, like the Eagles, figure it out, others do not.

The NHL appears destined to have a Salt Lake City franchise sooner or later.  Sooner, if the Arizona Coyotes can't work out their arena issues.  Later if they do.  It will happen, but they could play in Draper as Ryan Smith could build a new arena at the old prison site without state help.  The bill working its way through the legislature is not really about keeping the Jazz in Utah or attracting an NHL team to the Wasatch front.  It's about keeping the Jazz downtown.  Many in the state feel that this is where they belong.

One might ask, how does the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints feel about the issue.  As you now, right now the Salt Lake Temple and Temple square are in year 5 of a 7-year refurbishment.  They have said publicly on many occasions, that it is important to them that the area around the temple is clean and presentable.  Sure, Temple Square should be a shelter from the outside world, but the world near the temple should be, for lack of a better term, worthy.  They spent a lot of money to turn Crossroads Mall and the ZCMI center into the City Creek Center.  They would probably support a move to refurbish other areas downtown.  That parking lot kitty-corner to the current arena, they own that.  They would likely sell it to improve the area.  

Should you have NBA Basketball and NHL Hockey in the same venue? If you have basketball and hockey in the same arena, it needs to be done right.  If you build the arena to favor one sport, it tends to lessen the experience for the other.  There are some arenas, however, that do both right.  Madison Square Garden in New York, the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles and The American Airlines Center in Dallas are the only ones that appear in rankings near the top half for basketball and hockey.  The TD Garden in Boston and the Scotia Bank arena in Toronto are considered good basketball arenas, but so-so hockey venues.  Little Caesar's Arena in Detroit and Washington's Capital One arena are good Hockey venues that don't do basketball well.  While Denver's Ball Arena doesn't do either well.

Not every city that has both NBA Basketball and NHL Hockey play in the same arena.  Having two arenas can be a good, albeit more expensive option.  I can't find, however, where the two arenas are within blocks of each other.  Usually, they are miles apart.  The Timberwolves play in downtown Minneapolis, the Wild play in downtown St. Paul.  There are none that are even in the same city.  You could keep the Jazz downtown and allow Hockey to build in Draper.  I would support it as long as Ryan Smith does not ask for help with both.  We will only build one venue for you, man.

About the tax question.  They plan to increase the sales tax in Salt Lake City by .5%.  If you pay $10 for you hamburger, it will cost you an extra nickel to see the Jazz stay downtown.  It that too high of a price to pay?  Well, for some, any price is too high a price to pay.  It will likely be signed by the Governor and passed by the Salt Lake City council.  However, there are questions about what it could mean for neighborhoods like Poplar Grove.  Which would also be my concern.  (I will not address that in this blog post, but it is coming.)

What happens to the current Delta Center?  It will likely remain in tact until after the 2034 Olympics, should Salt Lake be chosen.  What happens afterwards depends on what option for the new arena is chosen.  There is one options where what we know right now could go sooner, but  I will discuss that below.  That does not mean it will meet the wrecking ball, per se, but it appears that come 2035, that portion of the Salt Lake Skyline will be gone.

Here are some options that are being considered for the multi-billion dollar project.  This my ranking from worst to best.

Option 3: Wreck the west wing of the Salt Palace Convention center for the new arena.  This could be take some architectural gymnastics as you need to leave Japanstreet in tact.  Out of the 10 acre block, you would only have 7 acres or so to work with.  It could be done, I think the current arena has a footprint of only 7 acres, while the other three acres are used for statues and other things.

But I think that this block, instead, could be used a a junction between the Convention part of the Salt Place and the entertainment part.  Perhaps a smaller, around 8,000 seat theater could be put here for smaller concerts, graduations, devotionals, etc.  Rather than just one hotel on this block, perhaps two or three.  I'm thinking of something similar to McCormick Place in Chicago would work here.  I don't think this is a viable option to build an arena here.

Option 2: Rebuild the Delta Center on the same site.

I thought this wouldn't be an option if the Coyotes are moved here, but using the Maverick Center in West Valley would be needed whether or not Arizona comes here.  When I say rebuild, I think of something like the Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle.  This would leave the outside pretty much as it is, but to redo the configuration on the inside.  This would probably lead to a lot of dust, but the end result could be awesome.  

In order for this to happen, the Jazz would need to move to temporary quarters for 2-3 years.  Of course, the Huntsman Center would be the obvious choice, but it may not be viable.  The Maverick Center could also work, but it is about half the size.  Other options would be a little way out of the city.  Like Ogden or Orem.  These are not really good options.  This option is possible, but not as realistic.  

Option 1: Build the new arena in the parking lot kitty-corner to the current.

This is the better option.  You have 10 acres to deal with.  While the Delta Center was good for the early 90s, but this time, they would need to make better use of the lot.  Perhaps one corner could have a hotel, bar, restaurant, etc that is always open.  There seems to be one corner of the current arena lot that isn't used, even during games.

I have confirmed that the land the parking lot is on is owned by the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints.  It was part of the Triad Center deal.  Outside of arena events and General conference, it isn't use a lot.  Even less since the COVID-19 pandemic.  There are plenty of other parking lots within the UTA Free Fare Zone  Plus, a ticket on Trax is usually less than parking.  This lot could be sacrificed.

After the 2034 Winter Games, the current Delta Center could then become Church property for the expansion of Ensign College, or whatever is needed at the time.  It could also be sold to Salt Lake City to be a Salt Palace expansion, or serve as a hotel/convention extension similar to what the Hyatt Regency does at the other end.

Finally, I think that the NBA and NHL should share an arena.  The NBA only plays 41 home games a year.  Yes, there are concerts, Disney on Ice and other events there, but that might add another 20 nights of events in the City.  The NHL would bring downtown another 41 home games.  You can run a bar or restaurant when you have big crowds for only 60 nights a year.  That is only 16 percent of the time.  You have to have business on other nights as well.  If the NHL and the Jazz share the arena, you push a busy downtown to over 100 nights per year.  Plus, some of the big concert tours passing up SLC may come here.  Now you are talking business.  It makes sense to do it this way.

You also have to not have an arena by itself, you need to build hotels, provide spaces for restaurants, bars and other things that fans of the game will want to do before and after the game.  It all needs to be within walking distance, or staggering distance if you have had one too many.  Although I am not normally one to use taxpayer funds to finance a billionaires dream, this could help keep downtown vital.  If not done, Draper will get the fun.

Arenas that host both the NBA and NHL:

Considered good for both sports:
1. Madison Square Garden: New York Knicks and New York Rangers
2. Crypto.com Arena: Los Angeles Lakers, Los Angeles Clippers (Until 2024-'25) season and Los Angeles Kings
3. American Airlines Center: Dallas Mavericks and Dallas Star

Considered good basketball arenas but not good hockey arenas:

1. United Center: Chicago Bulls and Chicago Blackhawks
2. TD Garden: Boston Celtics and Boston Bruins
3. Scotia Bank Arena: Toronto Raptors and Toronto Maple Leafs

Considered good hockey arenas but lesser for basketball:

1. Capitol One Arena: Washington Wizards and Washington Capitols
2. Little Caesar's Arena: Detroit Pistons and Detroit Red Wings

Multi-purpose arenas that are not considered good for either basketball or hockey

1. Ball Arena: Denver Nuggets and Colorado Avalanche
2. Wells Fargo Center: Philadelphia 76ers and Philadelphia Flyers
(Note: Replacement in the planning stages.)

Cities that have both an NBA and NHL franchise, but they do not share a venue

1. Minneapolis/St. Paul, Minnesota (Timberwolves play at Target Center in Minneapolis, Wild play at the XCel Energy Center in St. Paul)
2. Phoenix, Arizona (Suns play at the Talking Stick Arena in Phoenix, Coyotes play at the Mullet Arena in Tempe)
3. Miami, Florida (Heat play at Kaseya Center in Miami, Panthers play at Amarant Bank arena in Fort Lauderdale.)
4. Long Island, New York (Brooklyn Nets play at the Barclay's Center in Brooklyn, New York Islanders play at the UBS Arena in Elmont) 
5. San Francisco/San Jose, California  (Golden State Warriors play at the Chase Center in San Francisco, San Jose Sharks play at the SAP Center in San Jose)

Potential NBA Expansion Cities and their plans

Likely Expansion cities
1. The New Seattle Supersonics plan to share Climate Pledge Arena with the Kraken
2. The not yet named Las Vegas Expansion team will build their own arena but may share T-Mobile arena with the Golden Knights or the Thomas and Mack Center with UNLV to start out with

Potential NHL Expansion Cities and their plans

1. Salt Lake City: Will share the Delta Center with the Jazz temporarily.  Will likely share a new, permanent arena in the future.
2. Houston: Plan to share the Toyota Center with the Rockets
3. Atlanta: Plan to build a new arena in Suburban Atlanta and will not share State Farm Arena with the Hawks
4. Quebec City: Does not have an NBA franchise

Others:

1. 2nd Toronto Franchise: Unsure about plans
2. Portland: Would likely share the Moda Center with the Trail Blazers.  
3. Cincinnati: Would need a new arena.
4. Omaha: Would need a new arena.

Wednesday, February 7, 2024

We want the A's in Utah, but I have conditions

 


These billboards have appeared all over the Salt Lake Valley, and everywhere between Nephi and Tremonton.  (And between Coalville and Grantsville).  I want to clarify my feelings on this.  These opinions are my own.

If the A's stop in Salt Lake for 3 seasons while waiting for a permanent home in Las Vegas as a tryout to see if we can support a permanent team.  I am supportive of that.  For the last 10 years, I have been an advocate for the homeless.  I would be a hypocrite if I said otherwise.  But what I am not supportive of is a John Fisher team making Utah a permanent home should the efforts to move to Las Vegas fail.

We have a group here in Utah that knows something about how to run a Major League Franchise, the Miller Family.  They had the Utah Jazz for 36 years.  This team missed the playoff 8 times.  That is 78% of the time, they were in the post-season. They made the NBA finals twice.  The team kept two future Hall of Fame players, two Olympians, on the team for most, if not all of their careers.  Until sometime in the first decade of the 21st Century, the Utah Jazz played in the smallest media market in all of North American Sports outside of Green Bay.  Sometime between the dot com crash, the 2002 Olympic Winter Games and the Housing Crash, Utah began to pass the other small markets, and is now approaching 3 million.  There are many reason why the National Hockey league is considering Salt Lake City for expansion.

But there is one warning for John Fisher if the A's end up here on a permanent basis.  You have to try to win.  If you aren't going to do that, then sell.  You will here the same refrain in Utah that you heard in Oakland, and are beginning to hear in Las Vegas.  Try harder to win.

Thursday, February 1, 2024

Comprehensive List of Suggested Nicknames for the Utah NHL team

The National Hockey League may come to Utah as soon as the 2024-25 season.  But it will be soon.  I have perused the internet and social media and found what other people said should be names for the Salt Lake hockey team.  I will update this as I find others.  Here is the list.

Former/current Hockey Team Names in Utah:

Salt Lake Golden Eagles
Salt Lake/Utah Grizzlies

Native American Words:

Utah Kwana (Ute word for Eagle)
Utah Quchu (Shoshoni word for Bison)

Animals:

Salt Lake Scorpions (There are scorpions in Northern Utah.  This is my choice.)
Salt Lake Bison
Salt Lake Sidewinders
Utah Hawks
Utah Bighorn
Utah Yellow Jackets
Utah Hornets
Utah Mustangs (Either the horse or the airplane)
Salt Lake Sockeye (Alliteration, but sockeyes don’t make it to Utah. Rainbow Trout are Steelheads that never make it to saltwater.  Steelheads are taken by a hockey team in Boise)
Utah Cutthroat (Type of Trout, perhaps a little too violent, even for hockey.)
Utah Caribou (Not native to Utah, but works.)
Utah Elk
Salt Lake Stingers

People:

Utah Pioneers
Utah Copperheads (Copper miners, but could also be the snake)

Military:

Salt Lake Thunderbirds (After the Air Force Thunderbirds)
Utah Leathernecks (Nickname for Marines)
Utah Vipers (For the F-16, there are no reptile vipers in Utah.  This is the one the wife likes.)
Utah Warthogs (A-10 Warthogs)
Utah Talons (T-39, the main training aircraft)

Other Myths:


Utah Yeti
Salt Lake Sasquatch


Dinosaurs:


Utah Raptors (There is a dino called the Utah Raptor)


Weather:


Utah Blizzard

Thursday, November 30, 2023

If the school needs a new head coach...2024 Edition

 I have not written in the blog this year as frequently as I have in the past.  I've had other priorities.  My career took a tumble in 2019.  I am almost back to the point where I was then.  But this is one post I do every year.  If each head coach were to be replaced, who would be the short list candidates.  Well, this is my take.

Updated February, 2024.

BYU
Current Head Coach: Kalani Sitake
Why he might leave: BYU has had their second losing season under Kalani.  He will be gone after a third.  Why take the chance?

Short list of potential replacements:
NC State Offensive Coordinator: Robert Anae
San Jose State Head Coach: Ken Niumatalolo
Defensive Coordinator: Jay Hill
Offensive Coordinator: Aaron Roderick
Southern Utah Head Coach (Former SVU Head Coach): DeLane Fitzgerald
Utah Tech Head Coach: Lance Anderson 
Snow College Football Caoch: Zac Erekson

Utah
Current Head Coach: Kyle Whittingham
Why he might leave: Time to Retire, head coach in waiting may not wait longer.

Short list of potential replacements
Defensive Coordinator: Morgan Scalley
(And that is the list)
JK
If Scalley isn't the guy...there are others
BYU Defensive Coordinator: Jay Hill
Utah State Head Coach: Blake Anderson
Utah Tech Head Coach: Lance Anderson
Montana State Head Coach: Brent Vigen
Weber State Head Coach: Mickey Mental
Montana Head Coach: Bobby Hauck

Utah State
Current Head Coach: Blake Anderson
Why he might leave: There are other jobs that pay more, a lot more

Short list of potential replacements

Montana Head Coach: Bobby Hauck
Montana State Head Coach: Brent Vigen
Southern Utah Head Coach (Former SVU Head Coach): DeLane Fitzgerald
Former Interim Head Coach (Now at Washington State): Frank Maile
Utah Tech Head Coach: Lance Anderson

As Weber State and Southern Utah both had first-year head coaches and Utah Tech is looking for a replacement for Paul Peterson, I will not include them on this year's list

Utah Valley
If they start football, who would be their first coach

New Mexico Head Coach: Bronco Mendenhall
Former Utah State Head Coach: Gary Anderson
NC State Offensive Coordinator: Robert Anae

Sunday, October 1, 2023

Week 5 of College Football

 Every year, my son and I attempt to attend a home game for every Division 1 school in Utah.  We made it to Provo on Friday and our next game will likely be in Logan.  

We saw BYU's line get blown up on both sides of the football, yet come away with a win because they took care of the ball and Cincy did not.  BYU won by 8, scoring 14 points on turnovers.  The week before that, they gave up 21 points and lost by 11 at Kansas.  That is the theme of the week.

Weber State won in Greeley against the former BYU Special Teams Coordinator Ed Lamb and the Northern Colorado Bears with a pick 6 in the final minutes.

In Corvallis, both Utah and Oregon State threw an INT.  However, the Beavers capitalized on Utah's mistake, where the Utes did not.

Only the USU Aggies overcame their mistakes in getting the win in Connecticut.

Take care of the ball.  Doing so usually results in wins.  Not doing so usually results in losses.

Also of note: BYU's 4-1 feels different that Utah's 4-1

Projected Wins

BYU
Current Record: 4-1
Worst Case Scenario: 6-6
Best Case Scenario: 9-3
Most Likely: 8-4
Projected Wins: Iowa State, Oklahoma State
Projected Losses: West Virginia, Texas, Oklahoma
Toss Up: TCU, Texas Tech
Toughest Remaining game: At Texas
Trap game: Iowa State
Projected Bowl: Guaranteed Rate (Chase Field, Phoenix) vs. Purdue

Note: Take care of the football and they will pick up one or more of those unexpected wins.

Utah

Current Record: 4-1
Worst Case Scenario: 6-6
Best Case Scenario: 11-1
Most Likely: 8-4
Projected Wins: California, Arizona State
Projected Losses: Washington, USC, Oregon
Toss Up: Arizona, Colorado
Toughest Remaining Game: At Washington
Trap Game: Arizona State
Projected Bowl: LA Bowl (SoFi Field, LA) vs. Air Force

Note: With Cam Rising back, Utah could win out.

Utah State
Current Record: 2-3
Worst Case Scenario: 4-8
Best Case Scenario: 6-6
Most Likely Scenario: 5-7
Projected Wins: Nevada, New Mexico
Projected Losses: Fresno State, San Jose State
Toss Up: Colorado State, San Diego State, Boise State
Toughest Remaining Game: Fresno State
Trap Game: Colorado State
Projected Bowl: None 

Note: The Aggies may not finish above .500 this year but the future looks good through 2026 provided Cooper Legas stays healthy, does not transfer and does not leave for the NFL early.

Weber State
Current Record: 3-2
Worst Case Scenario: 6-5
Best Case Scenario: 9-2
Most Like Scenario: 8-3
Projected Wins: Idaho State, Cal Poly, Northern Arizona
Projected Loss: Idaho
Toss Up: Eastern Washington

Notes: They are fortunate to have their bye week before playing at home against Idaho.  I don't think they make the post season with the blowout loss to Montana State unless they win out.

Southern Utah
Current Record: 1-4
Worst Case Scenario: 3-8
Best Case Scenario: 6-5
Most Likely Scenario: 3-8
Projected Wins: Abilene Christian, Lincoln
Projected Losses: Stephen F. Austin
Toss Up: Tarleton State, Austin Peay, Utah Tech

Notes: SUU can still have a winning season if they shake off recent losses and be the team that played so well against Arizona State and BYU.

Utah Tech
Current Record: 1-4
Worst Case Scenario: 1-10
Best Case Scenario: 3-8
Most Likely Scenario: 2-9
Projected Wins: North Alabama
Projected Losses: Stephen F. Austin, Abilene Christian, Austin Peay
Toss Up: Eastern Kentucky, Southern Utah

Note: Rome wasn't built in a day.  It will be a few years yet before UT is competitive.  In the meantime, hit the transfer portal hard.

Controversial note on realignment.  Weber State and Utah Valley, if the Wolverines add football, are better options for FBS football than Southern Utah and Utah Tech.  

Monday, September 4, 2023

College Football '23 Big 12 Cliché Reactions

 I decided a new take on my college football blog this season, an overdramatic, overreaction post.

Big 12:

We played well.  I'm proud of my boys!
West Virginia

OMG, how can you lose to a team like Texas State/Colorado/Wyoming?  How does Dave Aranda/Sonny Dykes/Joey McGuire still have a freaking job?
Baylor, TCU, Texas Tech

A win is a win
BYU, Houston

Yea, we beat an FCS School! (slow clapping)
Iowa State, Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State

Wow! We are going to win the conference championship and go to the playoff.
Central Florida, Cincinnati, Oklahoma, Texas


Thursday, August 10, 2023

The Real Prospects for the Remaining PAC-4 members

California:

Strengths, academics, history and market size.  There are nine schools that have won a National Championship in both football and basketball.  (Princeton is another and they are now FCS, if that counts for anything.)  It has been years since Cal has been feared in any sport.  

In Basketball, the Bears won it all in 1959, but have only 19 Big Dance appearances.  1959 was also the last time Cal was in the Rose Bowl.  Their first Rose Bowl, on New Years Day in 1920, capped an undefeated season and their first of 3 National Championships.  Their potential fourth after the 1937 season is disputed, the NCAA officially recognized Pittsburgh as the National Champion that year.  They were recognized as the national champion in 1920, 1921, 1922.  Six times their bowl appearances were attendance records.  The last time they set an attendance record was when Marshawn Lynch ran all over BYU in the 2007 Las Vegas Bowl.  In Football they have been anything but terrible.  Overall, they have 19 bowl appearances.  California has the most impressive sports resume of the PAC-4  However, sports is not the top priority in Berkeley and never has been.  It's always been about academics in Berkeley.

They still have hope at either an ACC or Big 10 invite.  The ACC seems most likely.  If that fails, the AAC or the MWC will likely invite them.  If the ACC invites Cal only for football, the likely landing spot for the rest of their sports in the Big West Conference, where they would be a perfect fit.

Odds:
Big 10: 0%
ACC: 50% (Most Likely Destination)
Note: Also a possibility is ACC for football only, with the other sports in the Big West
Mountain West/American: 30%
Independent Football/Big West:15%
Drop Football/Big West: 5%
FCS: 0%

Men's NCAA appearances: 19
Deepest Run: NCAA Champion 1959
Bowl Games: 19
Bowl Record 15.14.1
New Year's Day Bowl Record: 2-5-1: Rose 1921-W, 1922-T, 1929-L, 1938-W, 1949-L, 1950-L, 1951-L, 1959-L
Best Football Season: 1920: 8-0, Conference Champion, Rose Bowl Champion, National Champion.
Best Basketball Season: 1959 15-4, NCAA Champion.

Stanford:

Strengths: Academics, market and tradition.  Stanford won it all in 1942 where much of the competition was fighting a war.  They made the final four in 1988.  They have 17 tournament appearances.  Their last being in 2014. They last played in the Rose Bowl in defeating Iowa.  They have 30 total bowl game appearances.  They haven't been bowling since 2018.

They are more likely than any other to remain in a Power-5 conference.  Like Cal, they still hold hope for a Big 10 or ACC invite.  Out of the PAC-4, they are most likely to succeed as an independent.  I do not know if they will chose that route considering they only have one year to put together a schedule.  They would be a strong competitor in the Mountain West. If the ACC invite is for football only, the most likely destination for their other sports is the West Coast Conference, as WCC is all private schools, like Stanford.  The Big West is all public and all in California.

Big 10: <1%
ACC: 50% (Most Likely Destination)
Also a possibility is the ACC for Football Only with other sports in the WCC.
Mountain West/American:25%
Independent/WCC: 15%
Drop Football/WCC: 5%
FCS: 4%

Men's NCAA appearances: 17
Deepest Run: Final four 1988
Bowl Games: 30
Bowl Record 12-11-1
New Year's Day Bowl Record: 9-7-1: Rose 1902-L, Rose 1925-L, Rose 1927-T, Rose 1928-W, Rose 1935-L, Rose 1936-W, Rose 1941-W, Rose 1952-L, Rose 1971-W, Rose 1972-W, Rose 2000-L, Orange 2011-W, Fiesta 2012-L, Rose 2013-W, Rose 2014-L, Rose 2016-W
Best Football Season: 2010: 12-1, Orange Bowl Champion 
Heisman Trophy Winner: Jim Plunket, QB, 1970

Oregon State:

Strengths: The only real strength is their proximity to Portland and the location in the Willamette Valley.  They have been the little brother to Oregon for a long time.  They had 19 NCAA appearances, but 3 have been vacated.  But they made the Elite 8 in 2021 before bowing out to Houston.  They were in the Final Four in 1963.  They have appeared in 19 Bowl games, with their last Rose Bowl appearance in 1965.  Last season was impressive, where they went 9-3 in the regular season before crushing Florida in the Las Vegas Bowl 30-3.  

Because they don't have an impressive post-season history, they may have to settle for the Mountain West and prove themselves to Power-5 to get back.  If they go independent, their other sports will likely park themselves in the Big Sky Conference or WAC.  If the ACC invites OSU for football only, the likely landing spot for the other sports would be either the Big Sky Conference or the WAC.

Big 10/ACC/Big 12: 20%
Mountain West: 70% (Most Likely Destination)
Independent/Big Sky or WAC for non-football: 10%

Men's NCAA appearances: 19
Deepest Run: Final Four, 1963 
Bowl Games: 19
Bowl Record 12-11-1
New Year's Day Bowl Record: 2-2: Rose 1942-W, Rose 1957-L, Rose 1965-L, Fiesta 2001-W
Best Football Season: 2000: 12-1, Conference Co-Champion, Fiesta Bowl Champion

Washington State

Out of the PAC-4, Washington state has the weakest resume, athletically.  They don't have many real strengths.  They don't have the academic prowess the other schools have.  Men's basketball has appeared in the NCAA tournament six times.  Their football resume is more impressive, last appearing in the Rose Bowl in 2003, losing to Oklahoma in the BCS semis.  They have 18 bowl appearances, which is the fewest of the four.  The bigger issue with Washington State is their market.  Pullman is a city of about 35,000.  The only economic driver in their community is the university.  They are 75 miles from a city of any size (Spokane) and really can't claim they are part of any large metro, but they try to.  Although their airport has direct flights.  Which means that travel isn't all that difficult.  They would be the smallest city in any conference they were to join, unless they drop down to the NAIA.  Their alumni are everywhere, especially in the west and their fans are passionate.  But that will not be enough to keep them in the Power 5 or even in the FBS. If the ACC extends an invite for football only, I can't imagine their other sports going anywhere but the Big Sky Conference.  Idaho, Eastern Washington, Portland State and Montana are all relatively close.

Big 10/ACC/Big 12: <1%
Mountain West: 50% (Most Likely Destination)
Independence/Big Sky or WAC for non-football 25%
Big Sky for all sports: 24%

Men's NCAA appearances: 6
Deepest Run: Lost in the 1941 championship game
Bowl Games: 19
Bowl Record: 9-10
New Year's Day Bowl Record: 1-3: Rose W: 1916,  L: 1931, L: 1998, L:2003
Best Football Season: 2003: 10-3, Rose Bowl (BCS Semi-Final) Loss.

In conclusion, it is not a slam dunk that all four schools will join the Mountain West.  The concerns about Stanford and Cal joining the ACC are likely over travel.  They have history and a large media market on their side.  There are legitimate concerns about adding Washington State to any FBS conference, even the Mountain West.  Oregon State to the Mountain West seems most likely to happen.



Sunday, August 6, 2023

Proposed MW-PAC merger. The PAC-16

Here are the market sizes of the Remaining PAC-12/Mountain West schools.  This is according to the US Census Bureau.  Numbers are 2023 Census estimates.

1-3. California/Stanford/San Jose State--San Francisco Bay CSA. 9,714,000
4. San Diego State--San Diego/Chula Vista/Carlsbad MSA. 3,298,000
5. Oregon State--Portland/Vancouver/Salem CSA 3,280,000
6. UNLV--Las Vegas/Henderson CSA. 2,317,000
7. Fresno State--Fresno/Madera/Hanford CSA. 1,317,000
8. New Mexico--Albuquerque/Santa Fe/Las Vegas CSA. 1,162,000
9. Hawaii--Urban Honolulu MSA 1,016,000
10. Boise State--Boise/Mountain Home/Ontario CSA 850,000
11. Air Force--Colorado Springs MSA 755,000
12. Nevada--Reno/Carson City/Fernley CSA 657,000
13. Colorado State--Fort Collins/Loveland MSA 366,000
14. Utah State--Logan/Preston MSA 147,000
15. Wyoming--Laramie, Albany County 39,000
16. Washington State--Pullman 34,500

According to the Census Bureau:

Pullman is not part of the Spokane Metro.
Fort Collins and Colorado Springs are not part of the Denver Metro
Laramie is not part of the Cheyenne Metro.
Logan is not part of the Salt Lake City Metro.
But Corvallis is part of the Portland Metro.

PAC-12 Bowls

NY6-Bowl (Rose Bowl)  
Sun Bowl
Alamo Bowl
Holiday Bowl
Las Vegas Bowl
Independence Bowl
LA Bowl

MWC Bowls

LA Bowl
New Mexico Bowl
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Hawaii Bowl (Hawaii if bowl eligible)
Arizona Bowl

Update: Bowl tie-ins are year-to-year negotiable.  Consider the old PAC-12 bowl structure gone after the 2023-24 season.

Monday, July 31, 2023

No, Virginia, the PAC-12 (PAC-X) is not dead.

 A couple of months ago when it appeared that the four-corners schools were considering dumping the PAC-12, it was believed that if only Colorado left, the conference would survive.  I see no reason to doubt that.  I think that the conference will survive.  It is not as strong as the Big 12 or the other four power conferences, but it is not as weak as the Mountain West or American Conferences.  Washington, Oregon, Utah and Arizona State will be the leaders of the conference going forward.  That is not a bad place to be even if they lose Arizona.  The other four schools are the ones they need to keep.

One must remember that doom and gloom of any sort are what sell papers, or in the 2023 vernacular, drive people to your website.  I can be a little more level headed as I do not rely on this blog for my living or even for my side hustle.  I am going to try and give an honest answer about going forward.

As I have mentioned in a prior blog, you don't replace the 2nd largest media market.  Losing USC and UCLA hurts bad.  But Colorado is replaceable. There is no need for panic in PAC-land.

That being said; dragging their feet on a media deal, and trying to push for money that isn't there is the biggest issue for the conference and its schools.  If the PAC-12 is indecisive, fan bases and supporters will grow impatient and that will cause schools to leave.  That is the biggest issue the PAC-12, or now -9, faces.  They have been too greedy.  I'm not suggesting the conference settle for less than they deserve.  But trying to get close to what they would have gotten had USC and UCLA remained could leave them with nothing.

As far as expansion goes, there is now a new top school.  Colorado State.  Adding the Rams will keep a presence on the Front Range, with access to Front Range money and the Front Range recruiting base.  But going to 16 and having a pseudo-merge with the Mountain West could water-down the brand too much.  San Diego State is a good add.  SMU is a good add.  But don't go crazy.  Be you, get what you can get, and learn to be happy with it.  Win games, then the conference will survive and thrive and get the money for their schools that they deserve.

Saturday, June 17, 2023

Four Schools who Could Add Football and Join the Mountain West Conference

Unless the PAC-12 completely collapses, which does not seem imminent, it appears that the Mountain West will have a decision on who to add.  Unless they add Sacramento State, UC Davis and Portland State, there will be some smaller markets to choose from.  Here are some schools that do not have football but if added would make good additions.  Two have played football and two have not.  I am not advocating for any specific school, nor am I predicting success.  If these schools add football, there would likely be some lean years before they find success.  Full disclosure, I am an UN Omaha alum.

1. Long Beach State.

Metro: Los Angeles CSA
Population: ~13 Million
Undergraduate Students: ~34,000
Last Played Football: 1991
Why they stopped playing football: Financial shortfalls, California budget crisis, lack of success on the field and the death of coach George Allen.
Does their stadium still stand?  Yes, they used to play near campus at Veterans Memorial Stadium in Long Beach, but that is now too small for FBS football.  But seats could be added to the north, south and east to make the stadium large enough.  The team could also play at Dignity Health Sports Park (home of the LA Galaxy) or at SoFi Stadium (unlikely), at least temporarily.  At one time, LB State played at Anaheim Stadium (home of the Angels), both Dignity Health and SoFi Stadiums are closer to the LB State campus.



Biggest Rival in the MWC: San Jose State (Assuming Fresno State and SDSU leave.)

Even though they are in the same metro as UCLA and USC, there is plenty of room for 49er football to come back as a member of the Mountain West Conference.  Their facilities for other sports are top notch.  LA is a large enough market to support another FBS program.

2. Nebraska Omaha

Metro: Omaha, Nebraska
Population: Almost 1 Million (Similar in size to Fresno)
Undergraduate Students: ~12,000
Last Played Football: 1990
Why they stopped playing football: A compromise when the school wanted to move to Division I for men's hockey.  Football and wrestling were stopped.
Does the stadium still stand? Yes, Al F. Caniglia field still exists, but some of the stands have been demolished.  There is likely room to rebuild a new stadium of 15,000+.  However, there is also likely some storefront somewhere near campus where a new stadium can be built and replace some blight.  There may be room near the basketball/hockey arena for a modest stadium.  It is possible, but unlikely that they would be able to share Morrison stadium with Creighton.  But it is possible and more likely that they could use Werner Park, home of the Omaha Storm Chasers of the International League (AAA).








Biggest Rival in the MWC: Wyoming and/or Air Force


Would Omaha Football be in the Shadow of UN Lincoln? Yes and no. UN Omaha would likely be a good landing spot for prospective Cornhuskers who are not satisfied with lack of playing time or who are not able to walk on.  It is unlikely that someone who is offered by both schools would chose Omaha.  There could be some successful underclassmen at UN Omaha who would transfer to UN Lincoln.  When UN Omaha had football, there was a similar relationship that BYU had with Rick's College.  The loss of UN Omaha football could be part of the reason UN Lincoln isn't as successful as they used to be.  UN Omaha athletes would not get the NIL money that UN Lincoln gets.  Lincoln is 50 miles to the east. 

Omaha and Eastern Nebraska have had enough growth to again visit the question of returning UNO to the gridiron.  As a member of the MWC, there were be enough money to add a women's Title IX sport, like gymnastics or Women's Hockey.

3. Utah Valley

Metro: Salt Lake City CSA
Population:  2.7 Million
Undergraduate Students: 40,500
Last Played Football: Never
Why they have not played football.  UVU has not been a four year college for very long, it became a four-year college in 1987.  It has grown to the behemoth college it is today, with the largest undergraduate enrollment in Utah.  There has been talk of starting a football program many times.

Where would they play?  Likely at the soccer stadium, or a local high school at first, or at BYU.  (Not at LaVell Edwards Stadium, but at what used to be Provo High School.) The school has some space at what used to be a steel mill a few miles up I-15 where a stadium would likely be built.  The university has built a soccer complex on the site



Biggest Rival in the MWC: Utah State

Coming in as an FCS program first and joining the Big Sky Conference is likely cost prohibitive, but the MWC and UVU could be a good match.  But being in the shadow of BYU would be a detriment until the population grows a little more.

4. Alaska Anchorage

Metro: Anchorage
Population: ~400,000 (Larger than Reno, smaller than Honolulu.)
Undergraduate Students: 18,000
Last played football: Never
Why they have not played football: As a Division II program, the cost of football is too high, when considering the travel costs to Anchorage.  They will not start football until they can be a Division I school and the MWC.

Where they would play?  The Sullivan Arena is used for the Great Alaska Shootout.  There is a small stadium to the west.  When Anchorage was trying to host the Olympics, the plan was to expand that stadium for opening and closing ceremonies.  It wouldn't be difficult or very costly to expand that stadium to 20,000.  However, the goal may be to get a place similar to the Fargodome and take weather out of the equation.  But for an Alaskan, if you let the weather get you, you have to move back to the lower 48.  A real Alaskan would make a Packers fan look like a wimp.

Biggest Rival in the MWC: Hawai'i

This is a longshot, but could end up as a hidden gem.  Recruiters from other colleges rarely visit Alaska unless there is a generational talent.  Many talented kids in Alaska simply don't get the chance to play college football.  According to NFL.com, there have been 10 former and current players who have hailed from Alaska.  A local college football program would motivate more high school kids from Alaska to seriously consider football and increase the number of Alaskans in the NFL.

Sunday, April 2, 2023

Five Former NFL Head Coaches Who Belong in the NFL Hall of Fame

5. Tom Coughlin

Jacksonville Jaguars 1995 to 2002
New York Giants 2004 to 2015

Credentials: 170 wins. .531 record. Super Bowl XLII and Super Bowl XLVI Champion.  Coached players such as Eli Manning, Mark Brunell, Toni Boselli, Tiki Barber, Jeremy Shockey, David Tyree and Jason Pierre-Paul.  He took the Jaguars to the playoffs in their second season.  Remember, this was an expansion team at the time.  He went to the playoffs 9 times in 20 seasons while suffering 8 losing seasons.  He also coached 3 seasons at Boston College, turning the program around and leading them to a #13 ranking before being named the first coach of the Jags.



Why not: After leaving the Giants, he went back to Jacksonville.  During that time, the team continued some lackluster performance on the field and Coughlin was the target of a NFLPA grievance.  It should also be pointed out that 3 of those 8 losing seasons where his last three with the Giants.  Arguably, if Coughlin had retired right after his second Super Bowl, he'd be in the Hall.  But that did not happen.



 I only know of two other NFL head coaches who has won two Super Bowl Championships and is not in the NFL Hall of Fame.  You will read about them down this list.  Others like Bill Parcels, Tom Flores, Don Shula and Tom Landry are also in the Hall of Fame.  There are coaches with weaker records in the Hall.

4. Marty Schottenheimer

Cleveland Browns 1984-1988
Kansas City Chiefs 1989-1998
Washington 2001
San Diego Chargers 2002-2006

Credentials: 200 wins.  .613 record.  Only two seasons in his career below .500.  Coached players such as Bernie Kosar, Ozzie Newsome, Joe Montana, Marcus Allen (with the Chiefs), and Philip Rivers.  His coaching tree includes Bill Cowher (Hall of Fame inductee), Tony Dungy (Hallo of Fame inductee), Mike McCarthy and Bruce Arians who have all won the Big game.  His teams made it to the playoffs 13 out of the 21 season he coached.  He had 2 seasons where his teams did not make it to .500.  His regular season record is one of the best not in the Hall of Fame.



Why not: he never won a Super Bowl.  In fact, he never coached in the game as a head coach nor as an assistant coach.  He never played in the game as a player.  Three times he made it to to conference championship game as a head coach, twice coaching the Cleveland Browns and once coaching the Kansas City Chiefs.  The two games with the Browns were memorable games; for the Denver Broncos.  While his one time in the AFC Championship Game with the Chiefs, his team was blown out by the Buffalo Bills.  During he tenure in San Diego, he never won a single playoff game.  If he even made it to the Big Game once, win or lose he likely would have worn a gold jacket in his lifetime.  He won a championship with the Virginia Destroyers of the USFL in 2011.



In spite of the negatives, with his winning record, he deserve to be enshrined in Canton.  Sadly, Coach Marty passed away from Alzheimer's Disease in 2021.  He was diagnosed during his season coaching the Destroyers.

3. Mike Holmgren

Green Bay Packers 1992-1998
Seattle Seahawks 1999-2008

Credentials: 161 wins. .542 record.  Super Bowl XXXI Champion with the Packers.  He coached the Packers the following season, but lost in Super Bowl XXXII to the Denver Broncos.  He also coached the Seattle Seahawks in their first Super Bowl appearance as a franchise in Super Bowl XL, losing to the Pittsburgh Steelers.  Coached players such as Brett Favre, Desmond Howard, Reggie White and Matt Hassleback.  His coaching tree includes Andy Reid and Jon Gruden.  As an assistant coach, he coached Steve Young at both the college an pro levels.  He was an offensive assistant for BYU's National Championship and the latter years of the 49er's dynasty. He coached 17 seasons, with 12 playoff appearances and 14 winning seasons.



Why not: After he left the Seahawks, he took an executive position with the Cleveland Browns.  He was considered a quarterback whisperer.  In his 3 seasons with the Brows he did not produce a winning season nor a regular starting quarterback.  But that has happened a lot since the Browns returned.  Today he is an analyst for the NFL's radio broadcasts on the Westwood One Network.



Come on, lots of head coaches don't make good executives.  It's a poor excuse.  Put Mike in the Hall.

2. George Seifert

San Francisco 49ers 1989 - 1996
Carolina Panthers 1999-2001

Credentials: 114 wins. .648 record.  Super Bowl XXIV and XXIX champions.  The long list of players he has coached include Montana, Young, Rice, Sanders, Waters, Lott, Haley, Dean and the list goes on.  His coaching tree includes Mike Shanahan, Mike Holmgren, Ray Rhodes, Jon Gruden, Jeff Fisher, Gary Kubiak and Mike McCoy.  Before he was chosen as the successor to Bill Walsh, he was the defensive coordinator for the 49ers.  He was an important cog in the 49ers dynasty of the 80s and 90s.  When he was the defensive coordinator, his defenses always finished in the top 10 in the league in scoring defense.



Why not: When Siefert left San Francisco, he had the highest percentage of any coach in history.  His years in Charlotte were forgettable, including a 1-15 season in 2001.  In San Francisco, many though he was riding on Bill Walsh's coattails and detractors will say that his record with the Panthers proves it.  He also failed to provide a winning season when he coached Cornell in the 1970s.  



He had a tremendous amount of on the field talent and gifted assistant coaches with the 49ers.  He did not put any of that to waste and won a pair of Super Bowl Championships.  He didn't have that in Carolina, a franchises which has not exactly been one of the NFL's best.  Even though in that final season he could have drafted Drew Brees, he drafted instead Dan Morgan who became one of the future cornerstones of the franchise.  This season also say the debut of Steve Smith and Kris Jenkins.  I wouldn't exactly call the 2001 season a complete bust in spite of the record.  The NFL should give him a gold jacket while he still lives.  He is now 83 and they are running out of time.

1. Mike Shanahan 

Los Angeles Raiders 1988 - 1989 (Both partial seasons)
Denver Broncos 1995 - 2008
Washington 2010 - 2013

Credentials: 170 wins. .522 record. Super Bowl XXXII and XXXIII Champion.  Coached players such as John Elway, Terrell Davis, Ed McCaffrey, Shannon Sharpe, Bill Romanowski, Steve Atwater, Jason Elam and Robert Griffin III.  He was the coach that finally helped Elway get a ring.  As an assistant with the 49ers, he coached Young and Rice and the offense that got the monkey off of Young's Back.  His coaching tree includes Gary Kubiak and Sean McVey who have both won Super Bowl Championships.  It also includes Air Force Coach Troy Calhoun, Kyle Shanahan, Jedd Fisch, Matt LaFleur and Mike McDaniel.



Why not: His record after the retirement of John Elway is good but not great.  But it is not terrible.  He coached Washington for four seasons, only making the playoffs once during those four seasons.  But making the playoffs for a team owned by Daniel Snyder may have been almost as difficult as winning the Super Bowl with the Broncos.  This only happened four times, twice by Hall of Famer Joe Gibbs, once by Shanahan and once by Ron Rivera.  We will see what happens with new ownership in Washington, but hopefully, it will be better.



Of all the retired coaches, Shanahan is the one who should be in the Hall.  His record is impeccable.  His time with the Raiders shouldn't count against him as Al Davis didn't give him a fair shot.  His time with Washington was as good as any under the ownership of Daniel Snyder.  His time in Denver was great.  He belongs in the Hall of Fame.

Sunday, March 5, 2023

Largest US/Canadian Cities Without a Franchise/Smallest with in Sport-2023 edition

No commentary or reading into things or speculation on this one.  Just the facts.

National Football League

Largest Metro Areas without a franchise

1. Orlando
2. San Diego
3. Portland
4. St. Louis
5. Salt Lake City
6. Sacramento
7. San Antonio
8. Columbus
9. Austin
10. Raleigh

Smallest Metro Areas with a Franchise

1. Green Bay
2. Buffalo
3. New Orleans
4. Jacksonville
5. Nashville
6. Cincinnati
7. Las Vegas
8. Indianapolis
9. Kansas City
10. Pittsburgh

Major League Baseball

Largest Metro Areas without a Franchise

1. Orlando
2. Portland
3. Charlotte
4. Salt Lake City
5. Sacramento
6. San Antonio
7. Columbus
8. Indianapolis
9. Las Vegas
10. Austin

Smallest Metro Areas with a Franchise

1. Milwaukee
2. Cincinnati
3. Kansas City
4. Pittsburgh
5. St. Louis
6. Tampa
7. San Diego
8. Cleveland
9. Denver
10. Minneapolis

National Basketball Association

Largest Metro Areas Without a Franchise

1. Seattle
2. San Diego
3. Tampa
4. St. Louis
5. Pittsburgh
6. Columbus
7. Kansas City
8. Las Vegas
9. Cincinnati
10. Austin

Smallest Metro Areas With a Franchise

1. Memphis
2. New Orleans
3. Oklahoma City
4. Milwaukee
5. Indianapolis
6. San Antonio
7. Sacramento
8. Salt Lake City
9. Charlotte
10. Portland

National Hockey League

Largest Metro Areas Without a Franchise

1. Houston
2. Atlanta
3. Orlando
4. Cleveland
5. San Diego
6. Portland
7. Charlotte
8. Salt Lake City
9. Sacramento
10. San Antonio

Smallest Metro Areas With a Franchise

1. Winnipeg
2. Buffalo
3. Edmonton
4. Calgary
5. Ottawa
6. Nashville
7. Raleigh
8. Las Vegas
9. Columbus
10. Pittsburgh

Major League Soccer

Largest Metro Areas Without a Franchise

1. Detroit
2. Phoenix
3. Cleveland
4. San Diego
5. Tampa
6. Sacramento
7. Pittsburgh
8. San Antonio
9. Indianapolis
10. Las Vegas

Smallest Metro Areas With a Franchise

1. Nashville
2. Austin
3. Cincinnati
4. Kansas City
5. Columbus
6. Salt Lake City
7. Charlotte
8. St. Louis
9. Portland
10. Denver

Tuesday, February 28, 2023

Is the PAC-12 Finished?

 No.  The PAC-12 is not finished. At least I don't think it is. But the ten remaining schools find themselves at a crossroads.  While traditional cable may be on its way out, ESPN and other services are not going away, there are changes and uncertainty.  All this comes as the PAC-12 loses its biggest loses its biggest market to the Big10.

But I believe that one big issue is the gap between wants and reality.  I think we have all been there.  Get laid off from a well-paying job and then you are forced to take a job with lower pay.  To put in in Hollywood terms, you were going to film with Tom Hanks and Jennifer Lawrence.  But now they have dropped out for other projects.  The financial backers of the film are willing to move forward with Jeremy Renner and Melissa Rauch, but they don't want to front as much cash.  The whole project is at danger of falling apart.



It should also be considered that those remaining in the PAC-12 at this time may not be as valuable to other conferences as USC and UCLA were to the Big 10.  But it is really had to pick truth from fantasy.  However, it appears that the ultimate goal is to pick apart the PAC-12, ACC and Big 12 until there are only two big conferences left.  If that happens, is it really conferences who will suffer?  Will it be fans?  It will probably be the student athletes.  Fewer conferences will eventually lead to fewer choices and fewer opportunities, especially for talented young men and women for whom a nearly free college education is a chance they will never otherwise have.

That is why I hope the PAC-12 survives in some form.

Friday, February 24, 2023

Las Vegas with All 5 Sports? That's Crazy Talk.

The City and Metro Area of Las Vegas, Nevada.  If sports folks on YouTube and other places are to be believed, it will soon be the home of all 5 major sports leagues.  The problem is not the money to build.  Las Vegas is torn down and rebuilt every couple of decades.  The problem is the fans.  Las Vegas is the 33rd largest metro or CSA in the United States.

The smallest CSA in the US with all five major sports is Denver.  Denver has 3.6 million people compared with 2.3 million in Las Vegas.  The Denver sports teams have had varying levels of success and support throughout the years, we can probably look to Denver to get an idea of how successful other teams will be in Las Vegas.

Comparing Apples to Apples

Football

In percentage of seats sold, the Denver Broncos were 14th in the league selling 99.8% of the seats available at Empower Field at Mile High.  They averaged 75,980 out of a capacity of 76,125.  The Broncos were 5-12 in 2022, last in the AFC west.  When your team stinks, you have trouble selling tickets.  Normally, the Broncos are at the top of the league, with SRO crowds being the norm.  While the Raiders had better results, they did not sell as well.  In percentage, the Raiders were 26th out of 32 in attendance as a percentage of seats sold.  The average was 62,045 out of 65,000.  Frankly, outside of the Washington Commanders, no NFL team is really struggling in attendance, but it is easier to get tickets to see the Raiders than it is to see Broncos, even if the Broncos play outside, in a cold weather city, and have a worse team.

The Broncos are Denver's team.  They belong to the Front Range more than anyone else.  They were the first big league team in town and were there a few years before the Nuggets, but a long time before the Rockies, Avalanche and Rapids.  That's why they do well, even in cold weather.



Hockey

The Colorado Avalanche are the defending Stanley Cup Champions.  But that defense is not going well.  Hockey has parity.  It is the most difficult sport to repeat as champions.  The Avalanche are averaging 17,922 fans per game in an arena that hold 18,000.  Not bad for a 4th place team.  The Golden Knights are in first place in their division.  They are averaging 17,985 in an arena that holds 17,637.  This means that there are usually 250 or so fans in the arena without a seat.  Not bad.  But this is simple economics or is it.  The Avalanche are competing with the Denver Nuggets who have the best record in the Western Conference and appear to be heading to the NBA finals for the first time in team history (and its a long history.)  In terms of percentage the Nuggets are 13th in the league.

The difference between the Avalanche and the Knights?  Not much in terms of attendance.  The Knights are doing better. The Knights have the first team in town advantage.  They were an expansion team.  They have only belonged to Las Vegas.  The Raiders moved to town and were Oakland's team.  Generally, expansion teams do better than moved teams.  Generally, the first team in town tends to own the city.  These are probably two reasons why the Knights do better than the Avalanche at the gate.  Las Vegas is a Hockey town because Hockey was there first.



How will the other sports do?

Baseball

I have concerns about the A's moving to Las Vegas.  First of all, it is taking a long, long time to happen.  If it happens, the A's still have two more seasons in Oakland.  Then, coming to Vegas, the new stadium will not likely be ready.  They will have to use either Cashman field or Las Vegas Ballpark for at least 1 season, with a lot of temporary seats added.  The Aviators, the AAA team averaged just under 7,000 per game in a stadium with 10,000 seats.  Las Vegas is in the middle of the Mojave Desert, which means the days and nights are hot and dry.  In July, the days get above 100 and it rarely gets below 80 at night.  This will make games, even after dark, uncomfortable.

The problem they will have if the A's move to Vegas is that it will still have the same owners and managers of a team that hasn't had a lot of success on the field since the Clinton Administration.  One of the reasons they do so poorly on Oakland is the product on the field is less than great.  Moving to Las Vegas will not suddenly produce a pennant winner.  While a new stadium will likely see large crowds at first, if they fortunes of the team do no turn around, the crowds will stop coming.  

My conclusion is that the A's will struggle in Las Vegas.  If I were the A's, I would be looking no farther than Sacramento for a new home.  If you have to put a MLB team in Vegas, the stadium needs to have a roof.  The Colorado Rockies, even though they have not done well on the field, are in the top 10 in attendance year after year.

Basketball

The NBA will likely expand.  Seattle should be at the top of the list.  Many are guessing Las Vegas for the second team, as the NBA will likely expand by two.  But Las Vegas isn't the only contender.  San Diego, Anaheim, St. Louis, New Jersey, Tampa, Pittsburgh, Austin, Nashville, Kansas City, Louisville and Norfolk, Virginia are also contenders for a new NBA team.  Seven of those cities (Anaheim, St. Louis, Tampa, Pittsburgh, New Jersey, Nashville and Kansas City) already have an arena.  Five of those have a larger population.  A Las Vegas NBA team would likely play at T Mobile arena or the Thomas and Mack Center for a couple of seasons.

They main problem an NBA team would have is that the Golden Knights were there first, and they would be the main competition for tickets, especially if the Knights continue to do well and an NBA expansion team struggles on the court.  The NBA is not like the NHL.  The NBA does not have parity.  Inertia is much harder to beat.  LV would likely see years of draft picks come and go before they even make the playoffs.  Strong attendance at first would likely drop off.  No team in the NBA is really struggling at the gate, 5 teams are below 90% in attendance.  The smaller market teams also struggle for success.  The Milwaukee Bucks are the only small market team to win a championship in the last 45 years.

My conclusion is that the NBA will struggle in Las Vegas and may not even last long enough to get their own arena.  I would consider a 3rd team in LA (Anaheim) as they have the population to support it.  If you put a team in Vegas, share T-Mobile with the Knight without planning your own venue.  That will guarantee no direct competition.

The Utah Jazz are now a team that succeeds at the gate even without the results on the court.  If you can't win a championship, at least figure out how to get some players that are fun to watch.

Soccer

Major League Soccer is looking for a replacement for the pandemic-derailed expansion team that was going to be in Sacramento.  San Diego and Las Vegas are the contenders.  San Diego has a lot of advantages over Vegas, including Snapdragon Stadium, which is more intimate for soccer.  They do not have an NFL team to compete against.  A Vegas team would likely play at Allegiant Stadium.  An NFL stadium has worked for two teams, the Seattle Sounders and Atlanta United.  Both teams were successful on the field right away, which is possible in soccer.  It must be said that playing in an NFL stadium has not really worked for the New England Revolution or the Chicago Fire, but the Revs have done better in recent years. 

I would expect the MLS to do well in Vegas as the city has a very high Hispanic population.  If San Diego is chosen, Vegas will probably be in the next round of expansion as the league pushes to 32 teams.

Even though it's been a few years since the team has been won a championship, Real Salt Lake still manages to get fans in the stadium.